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Structured methodology As of 2026-05-08

How LLM Vendor Lock-In Cost works

What the tool assumes, what data it pulls from, and what it cannot tell you.

Education · General business information, not legal, tax, or financial advice. Editorial standards Sponsor disclosure Corrections

1. Scope

Estimates engineering hours, downtime opportunity cost, and payback months for migrating between LLM providers. Heuristic effort multipliers, not measured velocity.

2. Inputs and outputs

Inputs

  • currentMonthlySpendUsd number ($)
  • promptComplexity number (1–10)
  • evalSuiteSize number
  • retrainingEngineeringHours number
  • downtimeDays number
  • hourlyEngineeringCost number ($)
  • newVendorDiscountPercent number (0–100)

Outputs

  • totalSwitchingCost

    Engineering $ + downtime opportunity cost.

  • monthsOfSpendEquivalent

    Switching cost / current monthly spend.

  • paybackMonths

    Switching cost / monthly savings at new vendor discount.

Engine source: src/lib/llm-vendor-lock-in-cost/engine.ts

3. Formula / scoring logic

prompt_hr = complexity × 4
eval_hr = evals × 0.5
total_hr = prompt_hr + eval_hr + retraining_hr
downtime_$ = days × monthly_spend / 30
switching = total_hr × hourly + downtime_$

4. Assumptions

  • 4 engineering hours per complexity-point of prompt rewriting.
  • 0.5 hours per eval test for migration / recalibration.
  • Downtime opportunity cost approximated by daily share of monthly LLM spend — a placeholder when actual revenue impact isn't known.

5. Data sources

6. Known limitations

  • Effort multipliers are heuristic; structured outputs, tool-call surface, and parser custom-code change real effort 2–10×.
  • Doesn't model the cost of running both providers in parallel during cutover (a common pattern).

7. Reproducibility

Input
$8000 spend, complexity 6, 80 evals, 40 retrain hr, 2 downtime days, $150/hr, 30% discount.

Expected output
totalEngineeringHours 104, switchingCost ≈ $16,133, paybackMonths ≈ 6.72.

8. Change log

  • 2026-05-08 methodology first published.

Worked example

Run live against the same engine this site ships (/engines/llm-vendor-lock-in-cost.js). The inputs and outputs below are recomputed on every build and independently re-verified in CI — they are never hand-authored.

Input

tool
llm_vendor_lock_in_cost
current_monthly_spend_usd
8000
prompt_complexity
6
eval_suite_size
80
retraining_engineering_hours
40
downtime_days
2
hourly_engineering_cost
150
new_vendor_discount_percent
30

Output

promptRewriteHours
24
evalRewriteHours
40
totalEngineeringHours
104
engineeringDollarCost
15600
downtimeOpportunityCost
533.33
totalSwitchingCost
16133.33
monthsOfSpendEquivalent
2.02
monthlySavingsAtDiscount
2400
paybackMonths
6.72

Frequently asked questions

What does the LLM Vendor Lock-In Cost calculate?
Estimates engineering hours, downtime opportunity cost, and payback months for migrating between LLM providers. Heuristic effort multipliers, not measured velocity.
What inputs does the LLM Vendor Lock-In Cost need?
It takes 7 inputs: currentMonthlySpendUsd, promptComplexity, evalSuiteSize, retrainingEngineeringHours, downtimeDays, hourlyEngineeringCost, newVendorDiscountPercent. Outputs returned: totalSwitchingCost, monthsOfSpendEquivalent, paybackMonths.
What formula does the LLM Vendor Lock-In Cost use?
The exact computation is: prompt_hr = complexity × 4; eval_hr = evals × 0.5; total_hr = prompt_hr + eval_hr + retraining_hr; downtime_$ = days × monthly_spend / 30; switching = total_hr × hourly + downtime_$
Can I verify the LLM Vendor Lock-In Cost with a worked example?
Yes. With $8000 spend, complexity 6, 80 evals, 40 retrain hr, 2 downtime days, $150/hr, 30% discount. the tool returns totalEngineeringHours 104, switchingCost ≈ $16,133, paybackMonths ≈ 6.72.
Where does the LLM Vendor Lock-In Cost get its benchmark data?
Reference data is sourced from: BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics — software developers (as of 2024-05); Stack Overflow Developer Survey (as of 2024).
What can the LLM Vendor Lock-In Cost not tell me?
Known limitations: Effort multipliers are heuristic; structured outputs, tool-call surface, and parser custom-code change real effort 2–10×. Doesn't model the cost of running both providers in parallel during cutover (a common pattern).
Business planning estimates — not legal, tax, or accounting advice.