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Structured methodology As of 2026-05-08

How Agent Cost Per Validated Customer works

What the tool assumes, what data it pulls from, and what it cannot tell you.

Education · General business information, not legal, tax, or financial advice. Editorial standards Sponsor disclosure Corrections

1. Scope

Computes AI plus infrastructure cost divided by activated retained users, with gross margin at a chosen subscription price. Does not model acquisition spend, retention beyond month 1, or downstream support cost.

2. Inputs and outputs

Inputs

  • monthlyActiveUsers number
  • activationRate number (0–1)

    Share of MAUs who reach the activation event.

  • retention30d number (0–1)

    30-day retention of activated users.

  • tokensPerUserPerMonth number

    Total tokens (input + output) per user per month.

  • modelInputPricePerMtok number ($)
  • modelOutputPricePerMtok number ($)
  • infraCostPerUserPerMonth number ($)

Outputs

  • validatedCustomers

    MAU × activation × retention.

  • totalMonthlyCost

    AI + infra cost across all MAUs.

  • costPerValidatedCustomer

    totalMonthlyCost / validatedCustomers.

  • grossMarginPercentAtPrice

    Margin at price × MAU revenue.

Engine source: src/lib/agent-cost-per-validated-customer/engine.ts

3. Formula / scoring logic

ai_cost = MAU × tokens × ((in$ + out$) / 2) / 1_000_000
validated = MAU × activation × retention
cost_per_validated = (ai_cost + infra) / validated

4. Assumptions

  • 50/50 input/output token split. Real workloads vary; adjust the price fields to your blended rate.
  • Activation × retention is treated as independent. Real funnels often have correlated drop-offs.
  • Infra cost scales linearly per user; database, CDN, and on-call costs do not always.

5. Data sources

6. Known limitations

  • Doesn't model usage variance — long-tail power users dominate token spend.
  • Single-month view only; no LTV calculation or compounding revenue.

7. Reproducibility

Input
MAU 10000, activation 0.4, retention 0.5, tokens 50k, in $3 / out $15 / infra $0.50, price $20.

Expected output
validated 2000, totalCost $9500, perCustomer $4.75, marginPercent ≈ 95.25%.

8. Change log

  • 2026-05-08 methodology first published.

Worked example

Run live against the same engine this site ships (/engines/agent-cost-per-validated-customer.js). The inputs and outputs below are recomputed on every build and independently re-verified in CI — they are never hand-authored.

Input

tool
agent_cost_per_validated_customer
monthly_active_users
5000
activation_rate
35
retention_30d
45
tokens_per_user_per_month
60000
model_input_price_per_mtok
3
model_output_price_per_mtok
15
infra_cost_per_user_per_month
0.5
price_per_user_per_month
20

Output

totalMonthlyAiCost
2700
totalMonthlyInfraCost
2500
totalMonthlyCost
5200
validatedCustomers
788
costPerValidatedCustomer
6.6
monthlyRevenueAtPrice
100000
grossMarginAtPrice
94800
grossMarginPercentAtPrice
94.8

Frequently asked questions

What does the Agent Cost Per Validated Customer calculate?
Computes AI plus infrastructure cost divided by activated retained users, with gross margin at a chosen subscription price. Does not model acquisition spend, retention beyond month 1, or downstream support cost.
What inputs does the Agent Cost Per Validated Customer need?
It takes 7 inputs: monthlyActiveUsers, activationRate, retention30d, tokensPerUserPerMonth, modelInputPricePerMtok, modelOutputPricePerMtok, infraCostPerUserPerMonth. Outputs returned: validatedCustomers, totalMonthlyCost, costPerValidatedCustomer, grossMarginPercentAtPrice.
What formula does the Agent Cost Per Validated Customer use?
The exact computation is: ai_cost = MAU × tokens × ((in$ + out$) / 2) / 1_000_000; validated = MAU × activation × retention; cost_per_validated = (ai_cost + infra) / validated
Can I verify the Agent Cost Per Validated Customer with a worked example?
Yes. With MAU 10000, activation 0.4, retention 0.5, tokens 50k, in $3 / out $15 / infra $0.50, price $20. the tool returns validated 2000, totalCost $9500, perCustomer $4.75, marginPercent ≈ 95.25%.
Where does the Agent Cost Per Validated Customer get its benchmark data?
Reference data is sourced from: Anthropic API pricing (as of 2026-04); OpenAI API pricing (as of 2026-04).
What can the Agent Cost Per Validated Customer not tell me?
Known limitations: Doesn't model usage variance — long-tail power users dominate token spend. Single-month view only; no LTV calculation or compounding revenue.
Business planning estimates — not legal, tax, or accounting advice.